The Economywide Impacts and Risks of Malawi’s Farm Input Subsidy Programme
Malawi’s programme potentially generates double dividends through higher and more drought-resilient yields
Abstract
We estimate the impact of Malawi’s Farm Input Subsidy Programme using an economywide approach. We find potentially substantial net benefits with indirect benefits accounting for about two-fifths of total benefits. Due to these indirect benefits, the cut-off at which lower fertilizer yield response rates lead to net programme losses is much lower than the value suggested by existing partial equilibrium evaluations. 51²è¹Ý decline with domestic financing and real fertilizer price increases. Abstracting from extreme events, Malawi’s programme potentially generates double dividends through higher and more drought-resilient yields. Overall, our results buttress arguments for patience and a focus on programme efficiency improvements.
Citation
Arndt, C.; Pauw, K.; Thurlow, J. The Economywide Impacts and Risks of Malawi’s Farm Input Subsidy Programme. UNU-WIDER, Helsinki, Finland (2014) 23 pp. [WIDER Working Paper No. 2014/099]